当然，俱乐部可以临时“挂名”几人充数，但在完全的权力真空中，会很大程度影响到球员的心态。

离谱！梅西世界杯硬刚！怒怼主裁不吃牌！

96855 ★

摘要：决赛中，费兰在替补席上等着。

本场比赛，大连英博的战术意图极其明确，且执行力堪称完美。

1、爱游戏手机 2026年8月，公司计划启动 Pre-IPO 最后一轮融资，目标投前达到了500亿美元。

但此后，因行业卷价格暴雷，企业账上现金只够发两个月工资。爱游戏手机作为迪桑特BLANC店铺概念在上海核心商圈的重要落地，上海环贸商场BLANC店铺以鲜明的空间语言与零售表达，进一步丰富品牌在高端都市零售场景中的布局。

2、来吧，来吧！相约邵阳！

在世界杯淘汰赛这种一球定生死的残酷舞台上，裁判的每一次沟通态度都可能影响球员的心态。

3、15岁118天18球轰下50分，印度小将打破萨钦最年轻半百纪录

球队防守端还算稳健，三场只丢1球，但进攻端效率不稳定，面对密集防守时容易出现控球多、威胁少的问题。

4、专业买家省心之选！2026Intertextile秋冬面辅料展【贵宾买家年卡】申请开启

随后是把资产从1走到10的过程说清楚。

5、5-0，5-3，2-5中国3胜2负！常冰玉，徐思狂轰5连鞭，贺国强赢德比

当时塞内西还在伯恩茅斯效力，今夏刚刚转会热刺。

2026世界杯半决赛对阵：上半场的法国vs西班牙；下半场的英格兰vs阿根廷。

三四名决赛中4比6不敌英格兰的法国队排名第三，英格兰位列第四。

6、英超揭幕战纽卡利物浦联合悼念基冈，两队正商讨致敬方案

只有土超与沙特联对莱奥表现出更为具体的兴趣，加拉塔萨雷与利雅得新月均有意接洽。

进一步夯实财务造假综合惩防体系，更大力度推动上市公司规范治理，持续释放并购重组活力，推出更多典型案例。

7、亚运会进死亡之组！U23国足有望晋级，媒体人热议：安帅压力山大

推动创新主体开展推理架构等关键技术攻关，通过异构协同、存算协同以及智能调度等降低推理成本，加快推理缓存复用、智能任务路由等应用层效率优化，全链路优化提高Token效率。

当然，米兰也在同步考察其他目标，波切蒂诺暂时被列为第二选择。

8、禁止以代为投资、理财，或赠送干股、挂名取酬等形式向公职人员或其亲属输送利益，海南省政商交往“正负面清单”发布

这结束了锂电池长达十余年的免税历史。

第三类是世界模型与行动模型融合路线。

俱乐部决心拿到一笔能体现球员价值的转会费。

9、总裁加入啃老大军，隔空喊话詹姆斯赶紧决定，跪着能挣钱不寒碜

唯一可以确定的是，在这场关于未来的赌局中，马斯克已经把所有筹码推到了桌面上——开牌之前，谁都无法确定这究竟是黄金时代的前夜，还是帝国梦碎的序章。

巴萨并不打算让他立刻满负荷投入，而是谨慎控制出场时间，将再次出现肌肉伤情的风险降到最低。

10、瓦西姆·贾弗：KL·拉胡尔天赋与科利持平，却因心态差距成就远不如预期

他与搭档拉波尔特组成的中卫组合，在本届赛事中于对方半场完成抢断的次数高居所有中卫之首。

紧接着是准备好多次失败。

1、鲁尼怒批世界杯决赛中场秀：简直是垃圾，FIFA却说是“开创性奇观”

家庭用户更关心机器放在哪里、吵不吵、安全不安全、孩子能不能用、耗材贵不贵，以及一个月到底能打印几次。

2、0-0，两连平！世界杯又1冷门：10人比利时战平伊朗，末轮恐遭淘汰

然而到了2022年，全球电信市场和数通市场双双进入下行周期，光模块销量从2021年的1041万只滑落至2023年的745万只。

3、推翻阿隆索！穆里尼奥重新洗牌！皇马天才迎来重生机会

阿浩找到公司交涉，才把这笔钱减了下来。英格兰梦幻开局！赖斯134秒闪击，轰远射世界波，单届15球创纪录他公开确认，国际足联将在本届世界杯结束后，正式研讨将世界杯参赛队伍进一步扩充至64支球队的可行性。

4、斯洛文尼亚右闸加盟多瑙斯特雷达，让·特龙泰利转战斯洛伐克

这届出现在看台上的大佬，可以说几乎家家都在猛攻美国市场。

5、官宣！凯恩两年合同重返芝加哥 37岁老将选择在梦开始的地方终老

2026年世界杯期间，类似抗议在法国也曾出现——一份超过8.2万人签名的请愿要求重赛法国对阵西班牙的半决赛，理由是首开纪录的点球存在争议判罚，但该请愿同样未对赛事进程产生任何实质影响。

6、MLB交易回报预测：老虎曾用普莱斯换三将，斯库巴尔该值多少？

随着法国队在半决赛中出局，姆巴佩等竞争对手基本退出了争夺。

小组赛表现，首战波黑，戴维斯缺阵的加拿大虽然控球率61%，但阵地战攻坚乏力，一球落后情况下依靠替补拉林的进球扳平比分，拿到队史世界杯首个积分。

2026世界杯总有11支球队的身价超过5亿欧元，连续两届世界杯杀入决赛的阿根廷总身价8.08亿欧元，排名本届世界杯第七，与之形成鲜明反差的是葡萄牙总身价超10亿欧元，也是本届世界杯仅有四支身价超10亿欧元的球队，另外三支（法国、英格兰、西班牙）全部晋级四强，唯独葡萄牙止步16强。

7、一组保时捷发光字母招牌现身明尼阿波利斯，无底价拍卖

第一个，这轮利润有多少来自涨价。

这位曼城前锋坦言，这届大赛不仅改变了挪威的足球雄心，也重塑了他个人对这项运动的理解。

8、NFL官网直指布朗四十载顽疾：若无改观，2027年选秀将继续寻枪

柯达早在1975年就发明了数码相机，却在2012年申请破产；诺基亚拥有触屏手机原型时，iPhone尚未问世，最终却黯然退场。

而在新增的3个名额中，阿联酋、阿曼以及印度尼西亚成功入围。

这些历史开始洗牌期的时候，必然出现三个信号——全民抢人大战、融资收紧和量产交付落空。

中国每年进口DRAM约300亿美元，长鑫2025年全年营收折合约86亿美元，自给率不到三成。

MLB战报：双城对阵守护者，双方先发阵容出炉当法官问“要不要调解”，其实已经暗示你了：别乱答云南丽江一餐厅“标价78元一锅，收费时变成78元半斤”，被责令整改，罚款10000元曼晚：若巴萨寻求再次租借拉什福德，曼联将不会和他们接触

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南京上演“一秒天黑”，注意防范8到10级雷暴大风

67104

Nexfin News — China’s lithium battery industry is undergoing a rite of passage, transitioning from wild expansion to disciplined competition. In the first half of the year, a rare divergence between surging corporate earnings and falling stock prices brought a permanent shift in the sector’s underlying dynamics into sharp focus. By mid-July, A-share lithium battery stocks pulled back despite dramatic midyear earnings forecasts. Tianqi Lithium projected net profit growth of up to 4,935% year-over-year, EVE Energy forecast a 95% to 110% increase, and both Sunwoda and REPT BATTERO turned profitable again. Across the supply chain—from upstream lithium salts to downstream battery makers—most companies reported substantial operational gains. Yet robust earnings failed to stop equity valuations from sliding. On July 8, Chengxin Lithium hit its daily downside limit, Yahua Group dropped over 15%, and Tinci Materials saw more than 30 billion yuan in market value evaporate within a week. Ganfeng Lithium has fallen roughly 38% from its peak, while market leader CATL is down about 20%. The immediate trigger for the selloff was the resumption of operations at CATL’s Jianxiawo lithium mine. On June 29, the mine secured its safety production permit, which was officially posted on the Credit China website on July 7. The site—the world’s largest single lepidolite mine—had been idle for over ten months. With an annual capacity of roughly 100,000 metric tons of lithium carbonate, it previously accounted for 8% to 10% of China’s total output. Its return brings over 45,000 tons of additional supply in the second half of the year, hitting elevated lithium prices head-on. Futures markets reacted instantly: on June 18, as restart speculation grew, the main lithium carbonate contract fell 6.58% in a single session, beginning a steady slide from its May high of 205,000 yuan per ton. This stark contrast between thriving industrial output and falling stock prices coincided on the surface with lithium carbonate pulling back rapidly from its May peak of 200,000 yuan per ton to 151,000 yuan. But a more critical question remains: is this the sign of a cyclical peak, or is the industry undergoing a profound revaluation? Answering that requires stepping back to examine the paradigm shift that unfolded across the lithium battery sector between 2025 and 2026. The essence of this shift is not the fluctuation of any single price signal, but a permanent realignment of the industry's competitive playbook—moving from "who expands the fastest" to "who possesses technology, steady profits, and global compliance capabilities." From 60,000 to 200,000 In late June 2025, battery-grade lithium carbonate dropped below 60,000 yuan per ton, touching a three-year low of 59,900 yuan. Lithium salt producers across the sector incurred heavy losses, forcing widespread shutdowns among small and medium-sized manufacturers. From Australian hard-rock mines and small African projects to domestic lepidolite producers, virtually all marginal capacity went offline that summer. A two-and-a-half-year price slump accomplished its single necessary function: clearing out excess supply. By the fourth quarter of 2025, supply and demand dynamics reversed faster than the market had anticipated. The initial spark came from energy storage demand. Data from research firms including InfoLink show that global energy storage cell shipments reached roughly 610 GWh in 2025, up over 90% year-over-year, with fourth-quarter volumes alone topping 200 GWh. Production schedules showed energy storage cells clearing lithium carbonate inventories at an accelerating quarter-over-quarter pace. As growth in electric vehicle batteries moderated, energy storage stepped in not just to absorb excess capacity, but as the industry's primary growth engine. Surging demand was only half the story; supply contracted just as sharply. Small African mines and high-cost domestic lepidolite operations exited the market. Meanwhile, Zimbabwe announced a temporary suspension of lithium concentrate exports in February—a country that accounted for 15.5% of China’s lithium concentrate imports in 2025. Although Australia remained the primary pillar of China's upstream raw material supply at over 50%, the policy further tightened market expectations surrounding upstream supply. Zimbabwe's Ministry of Mines later confirmed that a formal export ban would take effect in January 2027. The tension between supply and demand peaked with the onset of a structural global deficit. Morgan Stanley estimated in early 2026 that the global market would face a shortfall of roughly 100,000 metric tons of lithium carbonate equivalent (LCE) for the year. Soochow Securities calculated total annual lithium mine supply at approximately 2.14 million tons, representing 440,000 tons of new capacity—most of which was not slated to come online until after the third quarter. That timing gap fueled the price rally during the first half of the year. Driven by these converging forces and inventory restocking across midstream channels, lithium carbonate surged from 70,000 yuan per ton in October 2025 to 200,000 yuan by May 2026. Unlike the speculative frenzy that drove prices to 600,000 yuan in 2022, this recovery occurred after capacity had been fully built out, anchored firmly by real end-user demand. Gaogong Industry Research Institute (GGII) summarized the shift: "This is not a bubble, but a return to fundamental value. The structural surge in energy storage demand, combined with supply-side consolidation, has redefined a rational price band for lithium." Prices doubled quickly due to market sentiment and downstream stockpiling. July’s price correction reflected two main factors: the gradual release of new supply and downstream resistance to inflated raw material costs. Analysts generally expect lithium carbonate to trade within a median range of 120,000 to 160,000 yuan per ton for the full year—a price level that keeps most producers profitable without triggering another round of reckless expansion. Energy Storage as the New Engine In the first half of 2026, China's energy storage battery shipments reached roughly 485 GWh, a year-over-year increase of over 80%. Over the same period, power battery shipments totaled roughly 630 GWh, up over 30%. The gap between the two segments is narrowing rapidly. Structural figures are even more telling. In the first quarter of 2026, Chinese energy storage battery shipments totaled about 209 GWh, up 115% year-over-year and accounting for roughly 40% of total lithium battery shipments. By June, energy storage cells made up nearly 41% of monthly production schedules—up from around 30% a year earlier. According to InfoLink, full-year energy storage cell shipments in 2025 reached roughly 610 GWh, approaching 70% of power battery shipments over the same timeframe. Energy storage is no longer a side business for battery makers; it has emerged as an independent market reshaping demand across the industry. Behind this market realignment lies a fundamental shift in purchasing drivers. Before 2024, domestic energy storage growth was driven primarily by mandatory integration policies, which required wind and solar projects to install storage capacity. That regulatory setup created low-quality demand, leading to poor utilization, weak financial returns, and inconsistent cell quality. Between 2025 and 2026, market dynamics pivoted from regulatory compliance to commercial economics. The shift first materialized in the domestic market. In early 2026, the National Development and Reform Commission and the National Energy Administration jointly issued new capacity pricing regulations (NDRC Pricing [2026] No. 114), establishing a national capacity tariff mechanism for standalone energy storage facilities. Local standards were set between 165 and 330 yuan per kilowatt-year, depending on the province. Surveys by Soochow Securities indicated that internal rates of return (IRR) for storage stations in several provinces crossed the 6% threshold required for commercial viability, especially where peak-to-valley price spreads exceeded 0.3 yuan per kWh. IRRs for top-tier projects reached as high as 10%, fundamentally improving overall demand quality. This domestic turning point coincided with an explosion in international demand. Major solar-plus-storage projects launched across the Middle East, particularly in Saudi Arabia and the United Arab Emirates, with individual project capacities regularly reaching several gigawatt-hours. In emerging markets across Australia, Southeast Asia, and Africa, weak power grids and rising renewable energy penetration transformed energy storage from an optional luxury into a necessity. Soochow Securities calculated that utility-scale storage installations in emerging markets grew 233% year-over-year in 2025, with an additional 69% increase projected for 2026. In Europe, energy security concerns and green energy quotas kept commercial, industrial, and residential demand robust. GGII projects that global energy storage battery shipments in 2026 will reach 800 to 1,100 GWh, representing year-over-year growth of 30% to 70%. Even at the mid-point estimate of 900 GWh, energy storage output is positioned to approach or match power battery production this year. As the industry's primary growth engine shifts, its core operational requirements are evolving as well. Power battery demand is dominated by automakers, whose priority is cost efficiency. The customer base for energy storage, however, is far more diverse: utility operators prioritize long cycle life and safety, data center owners require high discharge rates and extreme reliability, and overseas projects demand lifecycle compliance and supply-chain traceability. Winning in these markets requires technological adaptation, solid project execution, and international compliance capabilities rather than sheer scale. Oversupply or Industry Maturity? Evaluating battery utilization rates requires a closer look at the underlying numbers. In May 2026, the single-month installation rate for Chinese power batteries dropped to roughly 38%. Over the first five months of the year, cumulative power battery installations totaled 259 GWh against 863 GWh produced—yielding an overall utilization rate of about 30%. Factory output continues to outpace vehicle installations, leaving a substantial share of manufacturing lines underutilized. The five-year trajectory of Chinese power battery installation rates tells a clear story: 70% in 2021, 54% in 2022, roughly 52% in 2023, 50% in 2024, 44% in 2025, and 38% by May 2026. This steady decline in installation rates offers clear evidence of an industry transitioning from rapid early growth into maturity. Yet labeling the sector simply as oversupplied misses crucial nuances. The market is not experiencing a uniform glut; rather, it is undergoing sharp structural polarization. High-end shortages coexist alongside low-end surpluses. Demand for premium batteries with energy densities above 160 Wh/kg—primarily ternary chemistries—rebounded sharply, rising from a 6% market share in 2025 to 11%. Meanwhile, low-end products under 125 Wh/kg have effectively been phased out. Demand has also diverged sharply between commercial and passenger vehicles. Driven by subsidy policies, battery demand for electric heavy trucks and delivery vans surged, with battery consumption for electric cargo vans rising 169% year-over-year. By contrast, electric buses—once the industry's primary market—fell to fifth place. While market leadership remains dynamic, the nature of competitive moats is shifting. CATL and BYD together retain a 68% market share, but second-tier players like Gotion High-tech, EVE Energy, Svolt Energy, and Hithium are making gains. Competition is shifting from pure capacity expansion to technological differentiation and operating margins. From another perspective, declining installation rates are a natural hallmark of industry maturity. As annual growth moderates, a drop in capacity utilization from 70% to 40% is to be expected. While systemic capacity pressures continue to weigh on industry-wide profitability, and smaller players face ongoing price competition, market leaders retain the balance sheet strength to navigate the transition. As top-line growth slows, manufacturers lacking proprietary technology, accumulated capital, or global compliance infrastructure risk being squeezed out. This shift explains recent strategic course corrections by major capital allocators. Anode producer Sinomatech canceled a 10.3 billion yuan expansion, cathode supplier Dynanonic abandoned a 10 billion yuan project, and separator manufacturer Semcorp terminated a roughly 2 billion yuan facility in Malaysia. Top-tier players reining in massive investments is a classic sign of an industry transitioning from early expansion to financial discipline. This reallocation of capital does not mean expansion has halted entirely. In the first half of 2026, manufacturers announced over 65 new planned projects representing more than 1,500 GWh of capacity and over 220 billion yuan in total investment. Hunan Yuneng disclosed a 24 billion yuan expansion, while Yahua Group announced additional capacity in Zimbabwe. Expansion continues, but the prerequisites have changed: only enterprises with strong technical barriers, cash reserves, and global compliance infrastructure are positioned to invest while competitors scale back. Technology Race 2.0: Three Fronts If the period between 2022 and 2024 was defined by a race for manufacturing scale, 2025 and 2026 have marked a pivot toward technological differentiation across three distinct fronts. Front One: Structural Shortages in 314Ah Cells The central operational focus for the energy storage supply chain in 2026 has been a structural shortage of 314Ah cells rather than short-term price swings in raw lithium. By March, average spot prices for 314Ah cells from tier-one manufacturers approached 0.40 yuan per Wh, with small-lot orders reaching 0.45 yuan per Wh—a surge of over 25% within six months compared to the 0.30 to 0.34 yuan per Wh seen in August 2025. The immediate driver was rising raw lithium costs—at 180,000 yuan per ton of lithium carbonate, theoretical cell production costs sit between 0.35 and 0.38 yuan per Wh. However, the root cause was a supply gap during the industry's transition to larger formats. As manufacturers shift from 280Ah and 314Ah form factors toward 500Ah+ designs, investment in legacy 314Ah production lines has largely ceased. Because next-generation 500Ah+ cell capacity will not scale up until late 2026, production ramps and customer testing created a temporary bottleneck. During this supply gap, the deficit widened significantly, pushing delivery timelines for select orders into 2027. This dynamic reflects a clear shift in industry economics: market returns are no longer guaranteed simply by bringing capacity online, but by executing format transitions ahead of competitors. CATL has already deployed its 587Ah cell in a 2.4 GWh standalone storage project in Inner Mongolia, while EVE Energy has accelerated mass production of its 628Ah format. With the shift toward larger cell formats underway, manufacturing execution is everything. While 314Ah supply constraints present an immediate operational challenge, solid-state technology represents the long-term competitive battlefield. Front Two: A Return to Realism in Solid-State Batteries Although 2026 has been touted as the inaugural year for commercial solid-state battery deployment, that label requires qualification: current production consists almost entirely of semi-solid (hybrid liquid-solid) chemistries. Models including the NIO ET9, MG4, GAC Hyper, and Chery vehicles have entered the market equipped with semi-solid packs featuring energy densities between 350 and 400 Wh/kg. Because these designs remain compatible with over 90% of existing liquid battery production lines, retooling costs remain manageable and rollout schedules are accelerating. However, the commercial reality of all-solid-state technology remains far more complex than vehicle showroom specifications suggest. In March 2026, Ouyang Minggao, an academician at the Chinese Academy of Sciences, offered a candid assessment: "To be prudent, it is best not to commercialize all-solid-state battery vehicles over the next two years." He cited three major technical hurdles: solid-solid interface stability, where microscopic gaps between solid electrolytes and electrodes cause internal resistance to spike; lithium dendrite formation and safety risks; and the environmental volatility of sulfide electrolytes, which decompose upon exposure to moisture and demand strict manufacturing conditions. Industry leaders report steady if measured progress. CATL’s sulfide-based solid-state cell has surpassed an energy density of 500 Wh/kg, with small-scale production anticipated in 2027. BYD’s 20 GWh facility in Chongqing is scheduled to begin semi-solid production in the third quarter of 2026, targeting pilot runs for all-solid-state cells in 2027. Gotion High-tech plans to initiate operations on a 2 GWh solid-state line by late 2026, while EVE Energy has produced sample 60Ah solid-state cells. A clear timeline has taken shape: 2026 is focused on pilot line verification, 2027 on vehicle testing, and 2030 on potential large-scale commercialization. The implementation of recommended national standard GB/T 43568-2026 (Solid-State Batteries for Electric Vehicles) on July 1, 2026, established an initial regulatory framework for long-term development. Ultimately, 2026 marks less the mass adoption of solid-state technology than a recalibration of market expectations. Meanwhile, an underappreciated demand driver is quietly gathering momentum. Front Three: AIDC Storage as AI Infrastructure In the first five months of 2026, global energy storage shipments for AI data centers (AIDC) reached 10 GWh, surpassing total volume for all of 2025. Industry research firms project that global AIDC storage demand will reach 300 to 400 GWh by 2030—more than twenty times its 2025 level. Capital deployment in the segment is ramping up. CATL invested roughly 4.1 billion yuan to acquire a strategic stake in Senter Power to secure positioning in high-voltage DC power distribution for data centers, while winning a bid for a 2 GW / 4 GWh storage project at a computing center in Guizhou. Fluence signed agreements covering a 12 GW pipeline of potential projects with two major U.S. cloud providers, LG secured eight data center storage contracts totaling 6 GWh—including projects for Oracle—and Panasonic announced 350 billion yen in battery investment aimed at tripling its data center storage revenue. The expansion of AIDC storage is driven by a widening gap between AI computing power demands and utility grid capacity. Power consumption per rack in modern AI facilities has jumped from 5–8 kW in traditional data centers to 40–100 kW, while grid connection approvals and capacity upgrades often take three to five years. Onsite battery systems serve both as backup power and as a bridge to accelerate facility commissioning. Energy storage is moving from an auxiliary fallback to an integrated structural component of data centers. Following NVIDIA’s October 2025 announcement of an 800V DC power architecture—designed to phase out diesel generators and legacy uninterruptible power supplies (UPS)—storage systems are being wired directly into primary distribution networks. This shift expands the market beyond traditional buyers like power utilities and renewable energy developers to encompass cloud providers and infrastructure operators, establishing a distinct category of demand. Globalization 2.0 While domestic market consolidation marks the industry’s initial transition to maturity, international expansion presents a secondary test. Tariff structures, raw material access, and regulatory standards are tightening concurrently across major export markets. Trade barriers represent the most immediate hurdle. The European Union’s countervailing duties on Chinese battery electric vehicles have been in effect for five years and are expanding to include plug-in hybrids. In the United States, the Inflation Reduction Act continues to raise domestic content requirements for power and energy storage batteries. Concurrently, China has reduced its export tax rebates for batteries from 9% to 6% as of April 2026, with complete elimination scheduled for January 2027. Rising trade costs are accelerating a shift from direct product exports to localized overseas manufacturing. At the same time, competition over raw materials is intensifying. The U.S.-led Minerals Security Partnership continues work to build key mineral supply chains outside China, while changing rules in jurisdictions like Zimbabwe highlight shifting export policies. Strategic positioning across raw material supply chains remains an ongoing operational priority. Regulatory compliance presents a quieter but more complex technical hurdle. The European Union’s Battery Passport regulations will become mandatory on February 18, 2027, requiring detailed disclosure of lifecycle carbon footprints, material origins, and recycled content percentages. The impact of these rules depends heavily on how accounting frameworks are defined; systematic discrepancies in baseline emissions databases regarding Chinese energy mixes or manufacturing processes could affect market access. In response, leading Chinese manufacturers are moving from passive compliance to active engagement with international standards. CATL has partnered with BMW and Germany’s Catena-X network to help establish over 90 baseline carbon accounting metrics. BYD invested over 100 million yuan to develop its "i-Carbon Chain" platform for digital carbon tracking across its supply chain. Similarly, REPT BATTERO collaborated with TÜV Rheinland and Circulor on a battery passport initiative, securing third-party verification for 98 independent datasets from an EU Notified Body. Overseas manufacturing footprints are expanding in tandem: CATL’s production complex in Hungary, BYD’s plant in Brazil, Gotion High-tech’s joint venture in the United States, and Envision AESC’s gigafactory in Spain. Chinese battery makers are transitioning from a model of centralized domestic production for export toward localized manufacturing aligned with international standards. This next phase of international expansion hinges on regulatory transparency, supply chain control, and deep local integration. Beyond Maturity In July 2026, as equity valuations diverged from corporate earnings across the lithium sector, market participants wrestled with where the industry stands in its broader evolution. The most visible change is the shift in growth drivers. With energy storage shipments reaching 485 GWh in the first half of the year to account for over 40% of total output, the gap between storage and mobility applications is closing rapidly. This demand-side pivot coincides with capacity rebalancing on the supply side, where power battery installation rates have adjusted from 70% down to the 30%–40% range, signaling an end to early, unbridled expansion while overall margins remain under pressure. These structural shifts are redefining entry barriers across the market. With 314Ah cell prices rising over 25% in six months and AIDC storage demand expanding rapidly, technical capabilities are increasingly determining market positioning. As national standards for solid-state technology take effect and EU Battery Passport deadlines approach, regulatory compliance has become a baseline operational requirement. The trajectory of lithium carbonate—falling to 60,000 yuan, rebounding to 200,000, and settling near 150,000—reflects a market seeking equilibrium. This broader transition was highlighted by a joint policy announcement on July 18, when three Chinese government ministries introduced a new consumption tax structure for batteries. Effective September 1, lithium-ion batteries are subject to a 2% consumption tax, rising to 4% in September 2027, while sodium-ion and solid-state batteries remain exempt through the end of 2028. The policy ends a tax exemption for lithium batteries that spanned more than a decade. Phasing in taxation uses fiscal policy to encourage capacity optimization and technological upgrading by taxing established chemistries while incentivizing next-generation alternatives. For second-tier cell makers operating on narrow margins, the 2% tax burden—equivalent to roughly 0.007 to 0.008 yuan per Wh—will further compress operating margins, reinforcing market consolidation around capitalized leaders. For China's lithium battery industry, 2026 represents a clear inflection point. Enterprises equipped with proprietary technology, international compliance frameworks, and established brand equity face a broader global landscape as the sector matures. Conversely, manufacturers reliant on single customers, lacking technical moats, or unable to meet evolving compliance standards face mounting pressure. The early expansion phase of the lithium battery industry has drawn to a close. Its mature chapter is just beginning. (This article was first published on the TMTPost App. Author | AGI-Signal, Editor | Zhao Hongyu)梅西走下世界杯赛场，变身硅谷投资人。[2026]

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